(snow is blue)
Daily data about HCN stations and adjusted data from NOAAS and GISS
Wednesday, October 8, 2025
Update on the Holocene sea level Highstand, or The Holocene transgression
There are raised beaches all around the world in the equatorial regions. These beaches led to the discovery that global sea level changes. See here for the 2013 post about this
Overview of Holocene Sea Level Changes
Overview of Holocene Sea Level Changes
Global sea levels have fluctuated significantly over the Holocene epoch (the last 11,700 years), primarily driven by the melting of ice sheets following the Last Glacial Maximum (21,000 years ago).
After rapid rises during meltwater pulses (e.g., ~14,000–8,000 years ago, when seas rose ~90–120 meters overall), rates slowed. By around 7,000–5,000 years ago (mid-Holocene), sea levels approached modern levels but were often 1–3 meters higher than today in many regions, including the Bahamas and surrounding Caribbean areas.
This highstand is attributed to residual ice melt and regional factors like glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA)—the Earth's crust rebounding from ice weight removal. Since then, levels have generally fallen slightly or stabilized, with a minor ~0.5-meter rise over the last 1,500 years due to natural variability.
Key Studies from the Bahamas and Caribbean RegionStudies in the Bahamas leverage its flat, carbonate geology—ideal for preserving shorelines, reefs, and storm deposits. Fossil coral reefs, beach ridges, and tidal flats provide precise markers dated via uranium-thorium (U-Th) or radiocarbon methods.
Dutton et al. (2015) – Mid-Holocene Highstand in the Caribbean Evidence: Analysis of fossil reefs and mangrove peats across the Caribbean (including Bahamas sites) shows a mid-Holocene RSL highstand of ~2–3 meters above present ~6,000–4,000 years ago.
In the Bahamas, U-Th-dated Acropora palmata corals from Eleuthera and Great Inagua indicate peak levels ~2.5 meters higher ~5,500 years ago, followed by a gradual fall.
Location Focus: Bahamas carbonate banks; compared to Yucatán (Mexico) and Bermuda.
Why Higher?: Primarily eustatic—continued melting of the Laurentide Ice Sheet (North America) until ~6,000 years ago contributed ~1–2 meters. Regional hydro-isostasy (water loading depressing far-field crust) amplified this by ~0.5–1 meter in the Caribbean.
The evidence supports a global highstand, but with regional variability; Bahamas data refine GIA models, showing minimal subsidence there (~0.1 mm/year).
Published in Quaternary Science Reviews.
Fairbanks (1989) and Follow-Up Studies (e.g., Bard et al., 1996) Evidence: Core samples from Bahamian reefs (e.g., near Bimini) reveal RSL ~2 meters above modern ~5,000 years ago, based on coral stratigraphy and oxygen isotope records. Sea levels rose ~10–20 mm/year during earlier pulses but stabilized at a +1–3 meter highstand by mid-Holocene.
Location Focus: Western Bahamas; integrated with Barbados drill cores for regional calibration.
Why Higher?: Meltwater Pulse 1C (~8,200–7,600 years ago) added ~1 meter globally, with lingering Antarctic contributions. In the tectonically stable Bahamas, this translates directly to RSL without major land uplift/subsidence.
Implications: Demonstrates the Bahamas as a "far-field" site for eustatic signals, free from ice-proximal distortions.
Published in Nature; extended in Science.
Purkis et al. (2021) – Tidal Flats and Mangrove Indicators on Andros Island Evidence: Historical aerial photos (1940s–2010s) and sediment cores from Andros (largest Bahamian island) show mid-Holocene marshes and cyanobacterial mats displaced inland, implying RSL ~2 meters higher ~5,000 years ago. Channel proliferation and peat layers date to this period, with a subsequent ~1–2 meter fall.
Location Focus: Great Bahama Bank (Andros tidal flats).
Why Higher?: Eustatic rise from Greenland/Antarctic melt, plus minor GIA forebulge collapse (slight subsidence in the Caribbean).
Hurricanes (e.g., 1992 Andrew) were ruled out as primary drivers via yearly Landsat tracking.
Implications: Highlights ongoing subsidence (~1 mm/year) magnifying modern rise, but mid-Holocene data confirm a natural highstand.
Published in Sedimentary Geology.
Related Regional Studies (Bermuda and Yucatán, Influencing Bahamas Models) Khan et al. (2017): In Bermuda (~1,000 km north), chevron storm ridges and megaboulders indicate RSL ~3–5 meters higher ~5,000 years ago during climatic transitions. Linked to Bahamas via shared North Atlantic storm tracks. Published in Marine Geology.
Cambridge et al. (1994): Yucatán (adjacent to Bahamas) peat and shell data show +2–3 meter highstand ~5,500 years ago, calibrated against Bahamian records for GIA corrections.
Published in Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology.
Why Higher?: Uniform eustatic signal (~2 meters global), with Bermuda/Yucatán showing slight uplift effects contrasting Bahamian stability.Primary Causes of the Mid-Holocene HighstandEustatic (Global Volume) Changes (~70–80% of Signal): Post-glacial melt from Antarctica and Greenland added 2 meters by 5,000 years ago. CO₂ levels were ~260–270 ppm (lower than today's ~420 ppm), but orbital forcing (stronger summer insolation) drove warmer mid-Holocene temperatures (1–2°C above pre-industrial), accelerating ice loss.
Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (~20–30%): The Bahamas, far from former ice sheets, experienced minor subsidence from forebulge collapse (Earth's crust adjusting to redistributed weight), raising apparent RSL by ~0.5–1 meter relative to global mean.
Other Factors: Minimal tectonic influence in the stable Caribbean; no evidence of major superstorms solely causing the shift, though they deposited markers.
Modern Context and Caveats
This natural highstand fell to modern levels by 3,000 years ago due to cooling from decreasing orbital insolation.
Uncertainties remain in exact GIA modeling (±0.5 meters), but consensus holds for a 2–3 meter highstand ~5,000 years ago.
Raised beaches and other geological indicators of higher sea levels during the mid-Holocene (~7,000–4,000 years ago) are documented globally, particularly in equatorial and far-field regions (distant from former ice sheets).
Raised beaches and other geological indicators of higher sea levels during the mid-Holocene (~7,000–4,000 years ago) are documented globally, particularly in equatorial and far-field regions (distant from former ice sheets).
These features, including fossil coral reefs, beach ridges, and tidal deposits, confirm a global sea level highstand of ~1–3 meters above present levels around 5,000 years ago.
The Bahamas is a key study area due to its stable carbonate platforms, but evidence from equatorial regions like the Pacific, Indian Ocean, and Caribbean corroborates the global nature of this phenomenon.
Global Evidence of Mid-Holocene Raised Beaches in Equatorial RegionsEquatorial regions, often tectonically stable and far from glaciated areas, are ideal for recording eustatic (global) sea level changes with minimal interference from glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA).
Studies of raised beaches, coral terraces, and sedimentary deposits provide a consistent picture of a +1–3 meter highstand ~5,000 years ago. Key regions and studies include:Western Pacific (e.g., Australia, Papua New Guinea, Great Barrier Reef) Evidence: In Queensland, Australia, raised coral reefs and beach ridges on the Great Barrier Reef and coastal islands (e.g., Orpheus Island) show RSL ~1.5–2.5 meters above present ~6,000–4,000 years ago, dated via U-Th and radiocarbon on corals and shells.
Studies like Lewis et al. (2013) in Quaternary Science Reviews document microatolls and beachrock indicating a highstand followed by a gradual fall. In Papua New Guinea, Huon Peninsula coral terraces record a +2–3 meter peak ~5,500 years ago (Chappell et al., 1996, Nature).
Regional Context: Stable tectonic settings amplify eustatic signals. Some sites show slight variability due to minor hydro-isostasy (ocean water loading).
Similar to Bahamian coral records (e.g., Dutton et al., 2015), Pacific sites confirm a global eustatic peak, though local subsidence in the Bahamas adds ~0.5 meter to RSL.
Indian Ocean (e.g., Seychelles, Maldives, Western Australia) Evidence: In the Seychelles, raised coral reefs and beach deposits dated to ~6,000–5,000 years ago indicate RSL ~2 meters higher (Woodroffe et al., 1996, Marine Geology). The Maldives show fossil coral and lagoon sediments at +1–2 meters, per Kench et al. (2009) in Global and Planetary Change. Western Australia’s Shark Bay has raised beach ridges and oyster beds at ~1.5–2 meters, dated to ~5,000 years ago (Hearty et al., 2007, Quaternary Research).
Regional Context: Far-field equatorial sites experience minimal GIA uplift, making them reliable for eustatic estimates. Hydro-isostasy contributes ~0.5–1 meter.
Comparison to Bahamas: Like the Bahamas, Indian Ocean sites show a highstand driven by ice melt, with stable tectonics ensuring clear signals.
South America (e.g., Brazil, Uruguay) Evidence: Along Brazil’s coast, raised beach ridges and shell middens in Bahia and Rio Grande do Sul indicate RSL ~2–3 meters higher ~5,000–6,000 years ago (Angulo et al., 2006, Quaternary International). Uruguay’s coastal lagoons preserve storm deposits and beachrock at similar elevations (Bracco et al., 2014, Journal of South American Earth Sciences).
Regional Context: South America’s Atlantic coast, like the Bahamas, is tectonically stable, reflecting eustatic changes with minor GIA subsidence.
Comparison to Bahamas: Brazilian data align with Bahamian coral and peat records, showing a consistent +2–3 meter highstand.
Southeast Asia (e.g., Indonesia, Malaysia) Evidence: Raised coral terraces in Indonesia’s Sunda Shelf and beach deposits in Malaysia indicate RSL ~1–2.5 meters above present ~5,000 years ago (Horton et al., 2005, Holocene). Mangrove peats and tidal flat sediments provide precise markers, dated via radiocarbon.
Regional Context: Complex tectonics in some areas (e.g., Indonesia) require careful correction, but far-field sites confirm the highstand.
Comparison to Bahamas: Similar to Andros Island’s tidal flat data (Purkis et al., 2021), Southeast Asian mangroves record a clear mid-Holocene peak.
Africa (e.g., South Africa, Mozambique) Evidence: South Africa’s Cape Coast has raised beach ridges and shell deposits at ~1.5–2 meters above present, dated to ~6,000–5,000 years ago (Compton, 2001, Quaternary Research). Mozambique’s coastal dunes and corals show similar elevations (Ramsay, 1995, South African Journal of Geology).
Regional Context: Stable cratonic coasts minimize tectonic noise, reinforcing eustatic signals.
Comparison to Bahamas: Aligns with Bahamian reef data, with slightly lower highstands due to regional GIA differences.Why Were Sea Levels Higher ~5,000 Years Ago?The global pattern of raised beaches and highstand indicators in equatorial regions points to a combination of factors, consistent with Bahamas findings:Eustatic Rise (~70–80% of Signal): Final melting of the Laurentide (North America) and Antarctic ice sheets 7,000–5,000 years ago added ~1–2 meters to global sea levels. Orbital forcing (Milankovitch cycles) drove a warmer mid-Holocene climate (1–2°C above pre-industrial), accelerating ice loss despite lower CO₂ (~260–270 ppm).
Hydro-Isostasy (~20–30%): In far-field equatorial regions, the added ocean water mass depressed the crust slightly, amplifying RSL by ~0.5–1 meter.
This is evident in the Bahamas, Seychelles, and Pacific islands.
Tectonic Stability: Most equatorial sites (e.g., Bahamas, Seychelles, Brazil) are tectonically stable, preserving eustatic signals without significant uplift or subsidence, unlike glaciated regions (e.g., Scandinavia, with strong GIA uplift).
Regional Variability: Minor differences in highstand elevation (±0.5–1 meter) arise from local GIA, subsidence, or coral growth dynamics. For example, the Bahamas’ slight subsidence (~0.1–1 mm/year) aligns with Brazil but contrasts with minor uplift in Bermuda.
Synthesis and Relation to Bahamas
The Bahamas is a critical reference due to its well-preserved carbonate platforms, but it’s part of a global dataset. Raised beaches and coral terraces across equatorial regions—Pacific, Indian Ocean, South America, Africa, and Southeast Asia—consistently show a +1–3 meter highstand ~5,000 years ago. Highstand means the highest point of sea level.
This global coherence rules out localized causes (e.g., storms, tectonics) and points to eustatic rise from ice melt, modulated by hydro-isostasy.
The Bahamas’ data (e.g., Dutton et al., 2015, Purkis et al., 2021) are particularly precise due to minimal tectonic noise, but they echo findings from places like Australia’s Great Barrier Reef or Brazil’s coast.Modern ImplicationsSince the mid-Holocene, sea levels fell slightly (1–2 meters) due to cooling from reduced orbital insolation, stabilizing until the 20th century.
Subscribe to:
Comments (Atom)
Why this blog?
The worst snow event in history for some areas
Satellite view Jan 17 2024 (snow is blue)
-
Climate Central is pushing the narrative that winters are warming the fastest, and all seasons are warming. This is because the basic glo...
-
Extreme. Not possible to even explain away with the "adjustments", which makes all the other "extreme warming" on the ...